Normalization Bias”: The World Is Changing— Are You Transforming?

“Normalization bias”—better known as normalcy bias—is the brain’s habit of downplaying warnings and assuming tomorrow will look like yesterday. In crises people tell themselves “it won’t happen here” or “it won’t be that bad,” even as evidence piles up. Roughly 80% of people display it during disasters, which is why evacuations lag and markets crash … Read more

Fragile Ceasefire in the Gulf: Calm or Countdown?

Markets rallied when Washington and Tehran announced a two-week ceasefire, but the relief is thin. Within hours, UAE defences intercepted dozens of Iranian drones and missiles, Kuwait reported fires at infrastructure, and Qatar logged shrapnel injuries in Doha. The truce exists on paper; on radar screens, projectiles still fly. 04eb Investors felt the whiplash. Dubai’s … Read more

All Eyes on Islamabad, 11 April: US–Iran Negotiations Open a Narrow Window

Islamabad hosts its biggest diplomatic test in years this Friday when American and Iranian delegations sit down for direct talks after a Pakistan-brokered ceasefire. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announced the pause on Wednesday and invited both sides to the capital on 11 April. Tehran confirmed participation; Washington signaled senior-level attendance, with Vice President JD Vance … Read more